3-km convection-allowing models: SPC's official HRRR browser + our own RRFS/HRRR MetPy renders · free, no keys · updated 2026-10-02 5:51 PM ET
📡 RRFS radar simulated composite reflectivity · our MetPy render from NOAA 3-km GRIB · HRRR init 10/02 20Z · 2 h old · RRFS init 10/02 18Z · 4 h old · updated 10/02 05:52 PM ET
--
RRFS renders hourly F001-F018 as NOAA publishes each cycle · valid times in ET on each map
⏱️ RAP nowcast newest hourly Rapid Refresh init Fri 4 PM ET · radar / CAPE + wind / hourly QPF / temp + dew point · next 3 h at 13 km · updates every hour · our MetPy render from NOAA open data
--
RAP publishes every hour, ~45 min after init - the freshest model guidance on this page for the next 3 hours. When HRRR/RRFS are holding on an old cycle during NOAA lag, this card still rolls.
⚔️ HRRR vs RRFS side-by-side · same valid time · where the two 3-km CAMs disagree · HRRR init 10/02 20Z · 2 h old · RRFS init 10/02 18Z · 4 h old · updated 10/02 05:52 PM ET
HRRR (init )
RRFS (init )
--
Valid times shown in ET · each panel labels its own init cycle · a panel reading "not rendered this cycle" means our updater hasn't produced that CAM's frame for this valid time yet - never a blank guess · a "waiting on NOAA" stamp means the model's newest published cycle is hours behind; rendering resumes the moment NOAA uploads it.
🚨 Severe weather SPC outlooks · CAM severe parameters · East-TN hail/rotation forecast
SPC Day 1TSTM · General Thunderstorms Risk
SPC Day 2TSTM · General Thunderstorms Risk
SPC Day 1 categorical risks (official colors) · tornado watches · severe t-stm watches · MCDs (watch likely) · click a polygon for details
Valid (ET)
Hail (East TN)
Rotation (UPHL)
21:00Z
-
weak rotation
22:00Z
-
weak rotation
23:00Z
-
weak rotation
00:00Z
-
weak rotation
01:00Z
-
-
02:00Z
-
-
03:00Z
-
-
04:00Z
-
-
Peak this window: hail 0.0 mm · rotation 63 m²/s² at 2026-10-02T23:00:00Z · from the live HRRR run via data.severe
frames step hourly · rendered locally from NOAA GRIB
🌩️ SPC HRRR browser
--
Frames F001-F018 hourly · images served directly from www.spc.noaa.gov