Active storms with official cones/tracks · NHC outlooks · updated 2026-10-02 4:37 PM ET
Cone + track34-kt wind radiiNHC 7-day development area
2 active storm(s) · cone/track KMZ parsed from NHC, wind radii + outlook from NHC GIS
🌀 Active storms
🌀 Rachel (HU)90 kt · 963 mb · 19.3, -111.1 · cone + track + wind field on the map
🌀 Nolo (HU)65 kt · 984 mb · 23.3, -167.8 · cone + track + wind field on the map
🌀 GEFS ensemble tracks
no Atlantic storms on the NHC board - GEFS member tracks will appear here automatically when the next system forms.
🌊 Sea-surface temperature - the hurricane fuel map
MUR analysis2026-10-01
Buoy water temps21 reporting
26°C+ isothermhurricane fuel threshold
<24°F~60°F~75°F80°F85°F+>90°FGulf Stream axis: 1→2 m/s (GOFS)
NASA JPL's Multi-scale Ultra-high Resolution analysis (GHRSST L4 MUR), streamed client-side from NASA's keyless GIBS tile service - the same sea-surface-temperature field hurricane forecasters watch. Storms need ~26°C (79°F) water to sustain themselves: watch the orange/red pool in the Gulf Stream, the Gulf and the Main Development Region, and whether the week-ago comparison shows a cool wake (upwelling + evaporative cooling) where a storm mixed the ocean. Buoy markers report measured water temperature - click one for the reading. The dotted line is the Gulf Stream axis - the warm western-boundary current storms ride north - located from GOFS 3.1 surface currents (speed-maximum walk across the corridor, valid 2026-10-02 20:00) and colored by current speed, green through red as the jet strengthens to 2 m/s; hover any stretch for its speed. Toggle it off for the plain SST field.
〰️ Wave tracker - Atlantic & Gulf buoy reports
Buoys reporting23/28
Worst seasmoderate 2.5 m
Gulf of Mexico1.4 m
Long swell 10 s+12/21
Southeast beach
Rip-current risk
Waves at the nearest buoy
Guidance
Cape Hatteras, OBX NC
moderate
0.5 m at 11 s from 132° via buoy 41025 long swell 10-13 s
rip currents possible - stronger near piers, jetties and sandbars
Wilmington NC
high
1.5 m at 11 s from 63° via buoy 41049 long swell 10-13 s
life-threatening rip currents likely - swim near a lifeguard or not at all
Myrtle Beach SC
moderate
0.5 m at 11 s from 109° via buoy 41004 long swell 10-13 s
rip currents possible - stronger near piers, jetties and sandbars
Charleston SC
moderate
0.5 m at 11 s from 109° via buoy 41004 long swell 10-13 s
rip currents possible - stronger near piers, jetties and sandbars
Savannah - Jekyll Island GA
moderate
0.6 m at 12 s from 81° via buoy 41008 long swell 10-13 s
rip currents possible - stronger near piers, jetties and sandbars
Jacksonville FL
moderate
1.3 m at 5 s from 109° via buoy 41009 chop <7 s
rip currents possible - stronger near piers, jetties and sandbars
Daytona Beach FL
moderate
1.3 m at 5 s from 109° via buoy 41009 chop <7 s
rip currents possible - stronger near piers, jetties and sandbars
Cocoa Beach FL
moderate
1.3 m at 5 s from 109° via buoy 41009 chop <7 s
rip currents possible - stronger near piers, jetties and sandbars
<1 m calm1-2 m2-3 m3-4 m rough4-6 m heavy6 m+ violent↗ wave direction arrow10-13 s swell13 s+ groundswell
Live NDBC buoy observations (hourly reports): marker color = significant wave height, arrow = mean wave direction, tooltip = height/period/direction/water temp. The dashed rings highlight just the surf-relevant 10 s+ swells (indigo 10-13 s, violet 13 s+ groundswell) - organized energy that wraps into beach breaks, unlike wind chop which closes out fast; 13 s+ is the early head-up that a hurricane swell train is arriving before the storm does (swell outruns its storm, period outruns the swell). The long swells that reach Tennessee's mountains start here - and the swells that outrun a storm into the Southeast coast are the first signal of a hurricane offshore. Values marked - were not reported (NDBC's MM sentinel is never guessed). Rip-current one-liners are qualitative guidance derived from the nearest buoy's wave height and period (bigger surf and long-period swell drive stronger rip currents) - they are not a substitute for the beach warning flags or your local NWS forecast: check the flags and talk to a lifeguard before swimming.