Track spaghetti + intensity forecasts from every global & regional model
· NHC ATCF aid-decks · updated 2026-10-02 5:51 PM ET
2 storm(s) · 114 guidance members · 6 chart(s)
Basin view:
Official (OFCL)GFSECMWFUKMETCMCHWRFHMONGFDLNavyEns. spread conesEns. strike probabilitycheckboxes toggle model families · shaded field = strike probability from that agency's members · dotted fan = its spread cone · dots = +24/48/72/120 h, colored by intensity
—bars = chance of the storm's center being within ~105 km (65 mi) of the town at
that forecast hour, from the ensemble members · click the map to query another spot
🎯 Most threatened townspeak chance of the storm's center within ~65 mi at any hour, next 5 days · from the ensemble · click a chip for the full hourly curve